Smile Modelling in Commodity Markets

Correlations in Commodity Markets

In this paper we analyzed cross-correlations in commodity markets investigating correlations of future contracts for commodities over the period 1998.09.01 2007.12.14. We constructed a minimal spanning tree based on the correlation matrix. The tree provides evidence for sector clusterization of investigated contracts. We also studied dynamic properties of correlations. It turned out that the ma...

Modelling Commodity

FX Smile Modelling

Imperfect Markets and Commodity Prices Under Demand Pull

This paper presents a theoretical view of imperfect market. It concludes that an increase in the price of products does not give any incentive to increasing production which shows the mechanism for upward trends in prices.

Optimal portfolios in commodity futures markets

We consider portfolio optimization in futures markets. We model the entire futures price curve at once as a solution of a stochastic partial differential equation. The agents objective is to maximize her utility from the final wealth when investing in futures contracts. We study a class of futures price curve models which admit a finite-dimensional realization. Using this, we recast the portfol...